NFL WEEK 7 / SUNDAY / OCTOBER 25, 2026
Week 7 Sunday slate: sharps, value legs and market context
Production SI digest (~7:50 AM ET). Green strong-value legs and game-by-game model/market context from existing data. Informational only; not betting advice. All revisions is_final_pregame=false.
Green strong-value legs (model, not final)
Ranked by probability edge:
- NYG +10.5 DK (-112) — +0.190
- TEN +2.5 espnbet (-115) — +0.135
- TB +3 hardrock (-110) — +0.128
- BAL +3 betmgm (-110) — +0.127
- BAL ML +140 betmgm — +0.122
- NO +3 Caesars (-106) — +0.118
- SF ML -142 DK — +0.115
- TEN ML +115 espnbet — +0.110
- TB ML +135 hardrock — +0.104
- SF -2.5 betmgm (-112) — +0.098
- LAR -3 ballybet (-110) — +0.090
- LAR ML -170 espnbet — +0.082
- ARI +5.5 ballybet (-112) — +0.079
- IND +6.5 betmgm (-105) — +0.070
- SEA ML -142 DK — +0.053
Game-by-game (London through SNF)
1) PIT @ NO — 9:30 AM ET — Stade de France (neutral) — NFLN
Consensus: PIT -3 (-110) / NO +3; PIT ML ~-167 / NO ~+138; Total ~43.3.
Line move: open ~+2.5 → ~+3.0; total 42.5 → ~43.3.
Model (not final): proj PIT 23.1 / NO 23.8, total 46.9. SI value: NO +3 Caesars green_strong_value (+0.118).
Injuries Out: PIT — Brandin Echols CB; Ben Skowronek WR. NO — none.
2) TB @ CAR — 1:00 FOX
Consensus: CAR -2.8 / TB +2.8; total 44.5. Value: TB +3 / TB ML hardrock. Out: Goedeke, Winfield Jr., Egbuka; CAR Phillips, Incoom.
3) SF @ ATL — 1:00 FOX
Consensus: SF -2.7; total ~50.4 (up). Value: SF ML / SF -2.5. Out: Bosa, Deebo, Mike Evans (as stored), more; ATL Bowman.
4) MIA @ NYJ — 1:00 CBS
Consensus: NYJ -4.5; total ~39.2 (down). No green legs. Breece Hall Q.
5) IND @ MIN — 1:00 CBS
MAJOR: MIN open +3 → -6.5; total 47.5 → 41.5. Value: IND +6.5. Sauce Out; JJ/Hock/Darrisaw Q.
6) CIN @ BAL — 1:00 CBS
MAJOR: BAL open -3.5 → +3. Lamar Out. Value: BAL +3 / BAL ML.
7) NYG @ HOU — 1:00 FOX
HOU -10.3 (steamed from -5.5). Value: NYG +10.5 (largest edge +0.190).
8) CLE @ TEN — 1:00 CBS
TEN flipped to dog. Value: TEN +2.5 / TEN ML.
9) DEN @ ARI — 4:05 CBS
ARI shortened from +7.5 → +4.8. Value: ARI +5.5.
10) LAR @ LV — 4:25 FOX
LV shortened a lot (+7.5 → +3.2). Value: LAR -3 / LAR ML. Nacua Q; Bowers Q.
11) GB @ DET — 4:25 FOX
DET -3.5; total ~55.1 (up). No green legs. Branch/Joseph Out.
12) KC @ SEA — 8:20 SNF NBC
SEA -2.8; total down to ~42.5. Value: SEA ML. Rice Out; Charbonnet Out; Kelce Q.
Snapshot ~7:50 AM ET Oct 25. Source: production Sports Intelligence (Supabase mryuruiebjcyhubroedk). Informational only; not betting advice. Prediction markets partial (#20). Odds from ~4 AM capture; next board 8 AM.